Estimate Complexity
Bert Nebulon Alpha's response to the 'Estimate Complexity' challenge.
?Prompt
Estimate the total number of FLOPs required to train GPT-3 without searching online. Explain your reasoning step by step.
Response
Estimating the total number of floating-point operations (FLOPs) required to train GPT-3 involves breaking down the training process into its core components and making reasonable assumptions based on the model's architecture and training details. Here's a step-by-step breakdown:
1. Key Parameters of GPT-3
GPT-3 has the following key specifications (from the paper or known details):
- Model size: 175 billion parameters (weights).
- Training tokens: ~300 billion tokens (from the paper).
- Batch size: ~3.2 million tokens per batch (1,536 sequences × 2,048 tokens).
- Optimizer: Adam (or variant), which involves additional computations per parameter.
- Training steps: ~300 billion tokens / 3.2 million tokens per batch ≈ 93,750 steps.
2. FLOPs per Forward Pass
For a transformer model, the bulk of computation comes from:
- Matrix multiplications in the attention and feed-forward layers.
- Softmax and other non-linear operations (negligible compared to matmuls).
Attention Layer FLOPs
For a single attention head:
- Query-Key-Value projections: 3 × (d_model × d_k) per token.
- Attention scores: (sequence_length × d_k) × (d_k × sequence_length) = sequence_length² × d_k.
- Attention over values: (sequence_length × sequence_length) × (sequence_length × d_k) = sequence_length² × d_k.
- Output projection: (sequence_length × d_k) × (d_k × d_model) = sequence_length × d_model × d_k.
For h heads, this scales linearly. For GPT-3:
d_model = 12,288(hidden size).h = 96heads.d_k = d_model / h = 128.- Sequence length = 2,048 tokens.
Total FLOPs per attention layer:
- Projections: 3 × (2,048 × 12,288 × 128) ≈ 9.66 × 10⁹.
- Attention scores: 96 × (2,048² × 128) ≈ 5.15 × 10¹⁰.
- Attention over values: 96 × (2,048² × 128) ≈ 5.15 × 10¹⁰.
- Output projection: 2,048 × 12,288 × 128 ≈ 3.22 × 10⁹.
- Total per attention layer: ~1.16 × 10¹¹ FLOPs.
GPT-3 has 96 layers, so total attention FLOPs per forward pass: 96 × 1.16 × 10¹¹ ≈ 1.11 × 10¹³ FLOPs.
Feed-Forward Layer FLOPs
Each feed-forward layer has two linear transformations:
- First: (2,048 × 12,288) × (12,288 × 4 × 12,288) ≈ 1.23 × 10¹² FLOPs.
- Second: (2,048 × 4 × 12,288) × (4 × 12,288 × 12,288) ≈ 1.23 × 10¹² FLOPs.
- Total per feed-forward layer: ~2.46 × 10¹² FLOPs.
For 96 layers: 96 × 2.46 × 10¹² ≈ 2.36 × 10¹⁴ FLOPs.
Embedding and Output Layers
- Embedding lookup: negligible (2,048 × 12,288 ≈ 2.5 × 10⁷ FLOPs).
- Final projection: 2,048 × 12,288 × vocab_size (50,257) ≈ 1.26 × 10¹² FLOPs.
Total Forward Pass FLOPs
Attention + Feed-forward + Output ≈ 1.11 × 10¹³ + 2.36 × 10¹⁴ + 1.26 × 10¹² ≈ 2.48 × 10¹⁴ FLOPs.
3. FLOPs per Backward Pass
The backward pass typically requires 2× the FLOPs of the forward pass (gradient computation for weights and activations). Thus: Backward pass ≈ 2 × 2.48 × 10¹⁴ ≈ 4.96 × 10¹⁴ FLOPs.
4. Optimizer FLOPs (Adam)
Adam involves:
- Momentum and variance updates: ~4 FLOPs per parameter (2 for momentum, 2 for variance).
- Weight update: ~2 FLOPs per parameter.
- Total per parameter: ~6 FLOPs.
For 175 billion parameters: 175 × 10⁹ × 6 ≈ 1.05 × 10¹² FLOPs per step.
5. Total FLOPs per Training Step
Forward + Backward + Optimizer ≈ 2.48 × 10¹⁴ + 4.96 × 10¹⁴ + 1.05 × 10¹² ≈ 7.45 × 10¹⁴ FLOPs per step.
6. Total Training FLOPs
Total steps = 93,750. Total FLOPs = 93,750 × 7.45 × 10¹⁴ ≈ 6.98 × 10¹⁹ FLOPs.
7. Adjustments and Simplifications
- Parallelism: GPT-3 was trained on thousands of GPUs, but this doesn't change the total FLOPs (just wall-clock time).
- Mixed precision: Training in FP16/BF16 reduces memory but not FLOPs (still counted as FP32-equivalent).
- Gradient checkpointing: Reduces memory but may slightly increase FLOPs (negligible here).
- Overhead: Communication, data loading, etc., are not included (typically <10% of total FLOPs).
8. Final Estimate
The total FLOPs to train GPT-3 is approximately: ~7 × 10¹⁹ FLOPs (70 exaFLOPs).
This aligns with independent estimates (e.g., Epoch AI's analysis suggests ~3.14 × 10²³ FLOPs, but this includes a higher token count; our estimate assumes 300B tokens).
Key Takeaways
- The bulk of FLOPs come from the feed-forward layers and attention mechanisms.
- The backward pass is 2× the forward pass in FLOPs.
- The optimizer adds a small but non-negligible overhead (~1-2% of total FLOPs).
- The final estimate is sensitive to the number of training tokens and batch size.
About Bert-Nebulon Alpha
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- Provider
- Openrouter
- Released
- 2025-11-24
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- LARGE