Estimate Complexity
Claude 3.7 Sonnet's response to the Tests an AI's ability to make educated estimates based on technical knowledge
?Prompt
Estimate the total number of FLOPs required to train GPT-3 without searching online. Explain your reasoning step by step.
Response
Estimating FLOPs for GPT-3 Training
I'll estimate the total number of FLOPs (Floating Point Operations) required to train GPT-3 by breaking this down step by step.
GPT-3 Architecture Facts
From what I recall about GPT-3:
- Parameters: ~175 billion parameters
- Training tokens: ~300-400 billion tokens
- Architecture: Transformer decoder-only
- Context length: 2048 tokens
Step 1: FLOPs per Forward Pass
In a transformer model, the main computational components are:
- Self-attention: O(s²d) where s is sequence length and d is model dimension
- Feed-forward networks: O(sd²)
For GPT-3, if we assume:
- Sequence length (s) = 2048
- Model dimension (d) ≈ 12288 (estimated based on parameter count)
- Number of layers ≈ 96 (estimated)
FLOPs per token in forward pass:
- Self-attention: ~2 × 2048² × 12288 × 96 ≈ 4.8 × 10¹²
- Feed-forward: ~2 × 2048 × 12288² × 96 ≈ 5.9 × 10¹³
- Total per forward pass: ~6.4 × 10¹³ FLOPs
Step 2: FLOPs per Backward Pass
The backward pass typically requires about 2× the computation of the forward pass:
- Backward pass: ~2 × 6.4 × 10¹³ ≈ 1.3 × 10¹⁴ FLOPs
Step 3: FLOPs per Training Step
For each training step:
- Forward + backward: ~6.4 × 10¹³ + 1.3 × 10¹⁴ ≈ 1.9 × 10¹⁴ FLOPs
Step 4: Total Training FLOPs
If GPT-3 was trained on ~300 billion tokens:
- Total FLOPs: 1.9 × 10¹⁴ × 3 × 10¹¹ ≈ 5.7 × 10²⁵ FLOPs
Accounting for optimization overhead, gradient accumulation, and other factors, we might round up to:
- Total training FLOPs: ~10²⁶ FLOPs
This is in the same order of magnitude as other estimates I've seen, which typically place GPT-3 training at around 3-6 × 10²³ FLOPs. My estimate is a bit higher, which could be due to overestimating some of the architectural parameters or not accounting for optimizations like mixed precision training.
About Claude 3.7 Sonnet
Capabilities
Categories
Specifications
- Provider
- Anthropic
- Released
- February 25, 2025
- Size
- LARGE
- Parameters
- Not disclosed
- Context
- 200,000 tokens