4 models have responded to the "Estimate Complexity" challenge. Compare their approaches side-by-side on RIVAL. This response is part of RIVAL's open dataset of 5,600+ AI model responses.
Gemini 1.5 Pro's response to the Tests an AI's ability to make educated estimates based on technical knowledge
Estimate the total number of FLOPs required to train GPT-3 without searching online. Explain your reasoning step by step.
Let's break down estimating the FLOPs for GPT-3 training. Since we can't look up exact figures, we'll rely on reasonable guesses and approximations.
Model Size: GPT-3 has 175 billion parameters. This is our anchor point.
FLOPs per Parameter per Token: A forward pass involves a matrix multiplication for each layer. Let's assume an average of 2 FLOPs per parameter per token processed (one multiplication and one addition). This is a simplification, as different layers might have slightly different computations, but it's a reasonable starting point.
Dataset Size: GPT-3 was trained on a massive dataset. Let's approximate the effective dataset size (accounting for repeated passes) as 100 billion tokens. This might be an underestimate, but given it was trained on a mix of filtered and unique content, and we don't know the exact number of epochs, it's a starting point.
Forward and Backward Passes: For each token, we do one forward pass and one backward pass for gradient computation. So, we have 2 passes.
Optimizer overhead: Optimizers like Adam add some computational overhead. Let's add a 20% overhead factor to account for this.
Now, let's put it all together:
FLOPs per token = 175B parameters * 2 FLOPs/parameter * 2 passes = 700B FLOPs/token
Total FLOPs = 700B FLOPs/token * 100B tokens = 7 x 10^22 FLOPs
Optimizer overhead: 7 x 10^22 * 1.2 = 8.4 x 10^22 FLOPs
Therefore, a very rough estimate is around 8.4 x 10^22 FLOPs to train GPT-3.
It's crucial to remember that this is a back-of-the-envelope calculation. The actual number could be higher or lower due to factors such as:
So, while our estimate provides a general order of magnitude, it shouldn't be taken as a precise figure.
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