4 models have responded to the "Estimate Complexity" challenge. Compare their approaches side-by-side on RIVAL. This response is part of RIVAL's open dataset of 5,600+ AI model responses.
GPT-4.1 Mini's response to the Tests an AI's ability to make educated estimates based on technical knowledge
Estimate the total number of FLOPs required to train GPT-3 without searching online. Explain your reasoning step by step.
Certainly! Let's estimate the total number of floating-point operations (FLOPs) required to train GPT-3 by breaking down the problem step-by-step. We won't rely on online data but will reason from first principles and known architectural characteristics.
GPT-3, the largest model version, has approximately:
A transformer forward pass consists mainly of:
Two main components dominate FLOPs:
From papers and common configurations:
Using formulas from transformer FLOPs estimation:
[ ext{FLOPs}_ ext{layer/token} approx 2 imes d_{model}^2 ]
(for attention and FFN combined, includes multiplications and additions)
Because the FFN (feedforward network) is the heaviest part, it dominates, so let's assume:
Substituting:
[ 8 imes (12,288)^2 approx 8 imes 1.5 imes 10^8 = 1.2 imes 10^9 ext{ FLOPs per token per layer} ]
For 96 layers:
[ 1.2 imes 10^9 imes 96 = 1.15 imes 10^{11} ext{ FLOPs per token (forward pass)} ]
Backpropagation generally costs about 2× to 3× the forward pass FLOPs because computing gradients involves forward pass and backward pass computations.
Use factor 3 to be safe:
[ ext{FLOPs} = 3 imes 1.15 imes 10^{11} = 3.45 imes 10^{11} ext{ FLOPs per token (forward + backward)} ]
From publicly known info, GPT-3 was trained on about 300 billion tokens (around 3 × 10¹¹ tokens) of text.
Multiply FLOPs per token by total tokens:
[ 3.45 imes 10^{11} imes 3 imes 10^{11} = 1.035 imes 10^{23} ext{ FLOPs} ]
[ oxed{ ext{Total FLOPs to train GPT-3} approx 10^{23} quad ext{FLOPs} } ]
So, the training of GPT-3 requires on the order of ( 10^{23} ) floating point operations.
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