Futuristic Prediction
Qwen3 235B A22B Thinking 2507's response to the 'Futuristic Prediction' challenge.
?Prompt
Predict how AI will change the film industry by 2035, considering deepfakes, AI actors, and script generation.
Response
By 2035, AI will have profoundly reshaped the film industry, acting as both a creative catalyst and a disruptive force. While human artistry will remain central to storytelling, AI tools—particularly deepfakes, AI actors, and script generation—will redefine production, distribution, and audience engagement. Here’s a realistic, nuanced prediction based on current trajectories, ethical debates, and industry dynamics:
1. Deepfakes: From Controversy to Controlled Integration
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Resurrection & De-aging as Standard Practice:
Deepfakes will be routine for de-aging actors (e.g., a 70-year-old star playing their 30-year-old self) and "resurrecting" deceased icons (e.g., a young James Dean in a new film). Studios will license digital likenesses via blockchain-secured contracts, with estates receiving royalties. However, strict regulations (e.g., EU AI Act amendments) will require explicit posthumous consent and limit usage to prevent exploitation (e.g., no political deepfakes). -
Practical Applications:
- Stunt doubles & background extras: AI-generated crowds or dangerous stunt sequences will replace 90% of human extras, reducing costs and safety risks.
- Localization: Real-time deepfake dubbing will allow actors to "speak" fluently in 50+ languages, eliminating the need for separate international shoots.
- Restoration: Archival footage (e.g., silent films) will be colorized and enhanced with AI, making historical cinema accessible to new generations.
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Controversies:
The "uncanny valley" will largely vanish, but public backlash against "soulless" performances will persist. Films using deepfakes for lead roles (e.g., a fully CGI Marilyn Monroe) may face boycotts unless paired with human oversight (e.g., a living actor providing motion capture). Key outcome: Deepfakes become a tool, not a replacement—with ethical use certified via industry labels (e.g., "Human-AI Co-Creation").
2. AI Actors: The Rise of Synthetic Performers
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Niche Domination, Not Total Takeover:
Fully AI-generated actors (e.g., "SynthActors™") will dominate low-budget genres (horror, sci-fi, animation) and commercials, where emotional nuance is less critical. For example:- A $5M indie horror film starring a customizable AI protagonist (e.g., "Lena," with adaptable personality traits).
- Video game cutscenes and metaverse experiences using real-time AI actors that react to player choices.
In major studio films, AI actors will rarely lead—audiences will still crave human authenticity for emotionally complex roles. Instead, they’ll fill supporting roles (e.g., alien crowds in Avatar 4) or virtual influencers in branded content.
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Hybrid Human-AI Performances:
Human actors will train AI "digital twins" to handle pre-visualization, A/B testing of scenes, or extended universe cameos (e.g., a young Robert Downey Jr. in a Marvel spin-off). SAG-AFTRA will enforce strict rules:- Actors retain ownership of their digital likeness.
- AI can’t replace living actors in lead roles without consent.
- Residuals for AI-reused performances (e.g., 0.5% per streaming view).
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Job Impact:
Entry-level roles (background actors, voice doubles) will decline, but new jobs will emerge: AI performance directors, likeness ethicists, and synthetic actor trainers. Key outcome: AI actors democratize filmmaking for indie creators but deepen the divide between A-list stars (who monetize their digital twins) and mid-tier actors (whose roles are automated).
3. Script Generation: AI as the Ultimate "First Draft" Tool
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The End of Writer’s Block (and Originality?):
AI script tools (e.g., upgraded versions of Sudowrite or Cinelytic) will:- Generate multiple plot variants in minutes, tested against historical box office data.
- Auto-fix pacing issues (e.g., "Make Act 2 15% faster for Gen Z audiences").
- Produce hyper-personalized scripts for interactive films (e.g., Netflix’s Bandersnatch 2.0).
By 2035, 80% of studio films will start with AI-generated drafts, but human writers will refine them for emotional depth. However, the rise of "formulaic AI scripts" will lead to creative homogenization in mid-budget films (e.g., rom-coms with statistically "optimal" dialogue).
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Ethical & Legal Battles:
- Copyright chaos: Lawsuits over AI training data (e.g., Stranger Things-style scripts) will force studios to use "consent-verified" datasets. The WGA will mandate AI disclosure in credits (e.g., "Script assisted by StoryForge AI").
- Writer displacement: Junior writers will struggle as AI handles first drafts, but top creatives will leverage AI to pitch faster. New roles like "AI Script Curator" will emerge to guide ethical tool use.
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Unexpected Upside:
AI will revive niche genres by identifying underserved audiences (e.g., "Generate a 1940s-style noir for Brazilian retirees"). Global filmmakers will use AI to adapt local stories for international markets, boosting cross-cultural cinema.
Broader Industry Shifts by 2035
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Production Revolution:
- Cost collapse: Micro-budget films ($100K–$500K) will rival 2020s $10M productions via AI-generated sets, VFX, and actors.
- Real-time rendering: Directors will tweak CGI, lighting, and actor performances on set using tools like Unreal Engine 7, slashing post-production time.
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Audience Experience:
- Personalized cinema: Streaming services will offer dynamic edits (e.g., "family-friendly" versions with altered violence) or custom endings based on your mood (detected via wearables).
- Deepfake marketing: Trailers will feature your face alongside stars ("You vs. Keanu Reeves in John Wick 10!").
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New Threats:
- Deepfake fraud: Pirates will release "AI-forged" sequels (e.g., Titanic 2: AI Edition), forcing studios to adopt watermarking standards.
- Creative stagnation: Over-reliance on "data-optimized" AI scripts could erode risk-taking, making blockbusters feel generic.
The Human Element: Why Storytelling Won’t Die
AI won’t kill cinema—it will amplify human creativity while exposing its irreplaceable core:
- Authentic emotion will remain the domain of human actors and writers. Films like Oppenheimer (2023) prove audiences crave raw, un-AI-processed humanity.
- Backlash movements will emerge (e.g., "Pure Film" festivals showcasing 100% human-made movies), similar to vinyl’s resurgence.
- Directors as "AI conductors": Visionaries like Villeneuve or DuVernay will use AI as a tool but fiercely guard narrative soul—e.g., using AI to generate 100 creature designs, then hand-selecting one for practical effects.
Conclusion: A Polarized, Productive Future
By 2035, the film industry will split into two ecosystems:
- AI-Driven Content Farms: High-volume, low-risk productions (e.g., franchise spin-offs, ads) using AI for speed and profit.
- Human-Centric Artistry: Prestige films where AI is a support tool, with audiences paying premiums for "human-made" labels.
Winners: Indie filmmakers (access to pro tools), top-tier talent (monetizing digital twins), and audiences (more personalized, affordable content).
Losers: Mid-level actors/writers, studios slow to adapt, and storytelling diversity if AI homogenizes scripts.
The biggest shift won’t be technological—it’ll be cultural. As deepfakes blur reality, cinema’s role as a trusted emotional sanctuary will grow. The industry’s survival will hinge on transparency (clear AI labeling) and ethics (protecting human creativity). In short: AI won’t write the next Godfather—but it might help 10,000 new voices tell stories we’ve never heard.
Final thought: By 2035, the most acclaimed film might be one where AI generated 90% of the technical work—but the final 10% (a single tear, an improvised line) was undeniably, beautifully human. 🎥
About Qwen: Qwen3 235B A22B Thinking 2507
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- Qwen
- Released
- 2025-07-25
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- XLARGE
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- 131,072 tokens