Historical Counterfactual Analysis
If the transistor had been invented in 1920 instead of 1947, trace the likely technological, economic, and geopolitical implications through…
Moving the invention of the transistor from 1947 to 1920 alters the fundamental trajectory of the 20th century. It compresses the electronic age, shifting the "Digital Revolution" from the 1980s to the 1950s. Here is a trace of the implications through 1980. I.Read the full answer
The Premise: The 1920 Solid-State Breakthrough For this scenario to function, we must assume a functional point-contact or junction transistor is demonstrated in 1920 (perhaps by Lilienfeld or an early Bell Labs precursor), and crucially, that methods for purifying semiconductor materials (germanium/silicon) are solved…Read the full answer