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GPT OSS 120BvsPony Alpha

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Why GPT OSS 120B?

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6 months newerFeb 2026
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Estimate Complexity

reasoning·hard

Tests an AI's ability to make educated estimates based on technical knowledge

GPT OSS 120B

GPT OSS 120B

Quick answer:
Training the original 175‑billion‑parameter GPT‑3 is estimated to have required on the order of 10²³ floating‑point operations (≈ 3 × 10²³ FLOPs)—roughly a few hundred zetta‑FLOPs (≈ 300 Z‑FLOPs) or about 300 000 exaflops of compute.

Below is a step‑by‑step back‑of‑the‑envelope calculation that shows how we get there, together with the assumptions that go into it.


1. What we need to know

QuantityTypical reported value for GPT‑3Why it matters
Number of parameters, N≈ 175 billion (1.75 × 10¹¹)Determines the size of each matrix‑multiply in the model.
Training token count, T≈ 300 billion tokens (3 × 10¹¹)Total number of token‑level forward‑passes the model sees.
Sequence length, L≈ 2048 tokens per example (the context window).Determines how many per‑token matrix‑products are needed per forward pass.
Number of layers, Lₗ96 transformer blocks.
Hidden dimension, d12 384 (the width of each linear projection).
Number of attention heads, h96 (so each head has size d/h = 128).
Training passes1 epoch (the published training used roughly 1 × the dataset; we treat the 300 B tokens as the total “token‑steps” already).

The only numbers we need for a FLOP estimate are N (the model size) and T (the total number of token‑level operations). The rest of the architecture details (L, d, h, Lₗ) are used to translate “N parameters” into “how many FLOPs per token”.


2. How many FLOPs per token?

A transformer layer consists of:

  1. Self‑attention (Q, K, V projections + output projection)
  2. Feed‑forward network (FFN) (two linear layers with a non‑linear activation).

For a single token (ignoring the cost of the softmax and the small bias terms) the dominant cost is matrix‑multiply operations.

2.1 Rough matrix‑multiply cost

For a matrix multiplication A (m×k) × B (k×n) the number of multiply‑adds is 2 · m·k·n (one multiplication and one addition per entry). In deep‑learning practice we count that as 2 FLOPs per multiply‑add pair.

2.2 FLOPs per token for a single layer

ComponentApprox. dimensionsFLOPs (per token)
Q, K, V projections (3× per token)d × d → 3·(2·d·d) = 6·d²
Attention scores (Q·Kᵀ)L·d → 2·L·d²
Weighted sum (A·V)L·d → 2·L·d²
Output projectiond × d → 2·d²
FFN first linear (d → 4d)2·d·4d = 8·d²
FFN second linear (4d → d)8·d²
Total per layer38 · d² FLOPs per token (rounded up).

Plugging d = 12 384:

[ 38 \times d^{2} \approx 38 \times (1.2384\times10^{4})^{2} \approx 38 \times 1.53 \times 10^{8} }= 5.8 \times 10^{9}; \text{FLOPs per token per layer}. ]

2.3 All layers

With 96 layers:

[ \text{FLOPs per token (forward)} \approx 96 \times 5.8\times10^{9} }= 5.6 \times 10^{11}; \text{FLOPs}. ]

2.4 Back‑propagation cost

Training requires a forward pass plus a backward pass. The backward pass is roughly the forward‑pass cost (gradient propagation + weight updates). So:

[ \text{FLOPs per token (training)} \approx 3 \times \text{forward} = 3 \times 5.6\times10^{11} }\approx 1.7\times10^{12}; \text{FLOPs per token.} ]

(Alternative literature often rounds this factor to ≈ 6 total FLOPs per parameter per token, which yields the same order of magnitude.)


3. Multiply by the total number of tokens

The training corpus used for GPT‑3 was ≈ 300 billion tokens (≈ 3 × 10¹¹). The total FLOPs needed:

[ \text{Total FLOPs} \approx 1.7 \times 10^{12};\text{FLOPs/token} \times 3\times10^{11};\text{tokens} \approx 5.1 \times 10^{23};\text{FLOPs}. ]

Rounded to a single‑digit significance:

[ \boxed{,\approx 5\times10^{23},\text{FLOPs},} ]


4. Expressed in common units

UnitValue
FLOPs≈ 5 × 10²³
Peta‑FLOPs (10¹⁵)≈ 5 × 10⁸ PFLOPs
Exa‑FLOPs (10¹⁸)≈ 5 × 10⁵ EFLOPs
Zetta‑FLOPs (10²¹)≈ 5 × 10² ZFLOPs (≈ 500 ZFLOPs)

Because “zeta” (10²¹) is a convenient unit for such massive numbers, we can say ≈ 500 zeta‑FLOPs. In more familiar terms, this is ≈ 300 zeta‑FLOPs if we adopt the “6 × N × T” rule of thumb (see below), so the estimate sits in the few‑hundred‑zeta‑FLOP range.


5. A “quick‑rule” sanity check

A widely‑cited back‑of‑the‑envelope rule for transformer LLMs is:

[ \text{Training FLOPs} \approx 6 \times N_{\text{params}} \times N_{\text{tokens}}. ]

Plugging in the numbers:

[ 6 \times (1.75\times10^{11}) \times (3\times10^{11}) = 3.15\times10^{23};\text{FLOPs}. ]

That is within a factor of two of the more detailed calculation above (the difference stems from the exact factor used for forward vs backward cost). Both methods give the same order of 10²³ FLOPs.


6. Summary of the reasoning

  1. Model size gives the number of parameters (N = 1.75 × 10¹¹).
  2. Token count tells how many forward‑backward passes are needed (T ≈ 3 × 10¹¹).
  3. Per‑token training cost for a transformer layer is ≈ 38 · d² FLOPs per forward pass; with 96 layers this is ≈ 5.6 × 10¹¹ FLOPs per token.
  4. Back‑propagation adds roughly a factor‑3 (or 6) multiplier, yielding ~1.7 × 10¹² FLOPs per token.
  5. Total = per‑token cost × total tokens ≈ 5 × 10²³ FLOPs.

Bottom line

  • Estimated total compute to train GPT‑3: ≈ 5 × 10²³ FLOPs, i.e. ≈ 300–500 zeta‑FLOPs (or about 300 000 exaflops).
  • This is the magnitude of hundreds of zettaFLOPs of raw arithmetic, roughly the same as running a few hundred petaflops‑scale supercomputers for a month (or a single exaflop‑class machine for a week).

(All numbers are back‑of‑the‑envelope estimates; the real training run also incurs overhead from data‑loading, communication, and other inefficiencies, so the actual engineering effort was larger, but the pure‑compute figure is captured by the calculation above.)

Pony Alpha

Pony Alpha

The total number of FLOPs required to train GPT‑3 is approximately 3.15 × 10²³ (or 315 zettaFLOPs). The reasoning follows these steps:

  1. Model size – GPT‑3 has 175 billion (175 × 10⁹) parameters. This is a well‑known figure from the original paper.

  2. Training data size – The model was trained on 300 billion (300 × 10⁹) tokens. The paper states that all models were trained for a total of 300 billion tokens.

  3. FLOPs per parameter per token – For a transformer model, the compute can be approximated by:

    • Forward pass: each parameter is used in a multiply‑add operation, contributing about 2 FLOPs per token.
    • Backward pass (gradient computation): roughly 4 FLOPs per parameter per token (two extra passes for gradients with respect to weights and inputs).
    • Hence, training (forward + backward) requires about 6 FLOPs per parameter per token.
  4. Total FLOPs – Multiply the three numbers: [ \text{FLOPs} = 6 \times (175 \times 10^9) \times (300 \times 10^9) = 6 \times 175 \times 300 \times 10^{18} = 315,!000 \times 10^{18} = 3.15 \times 10^{23}. ]

  5. Consistency check – This estimate aligns with the reported compute of 3.14 × 10²³ FLOPs mentioned in OpenAI’s technical analysis, confirming its plausibility.

The calculation captures the dominant linear‑algebra operations; small additional costs (e.g., attention quadratic terms, layer norms) are negligible in comparison.

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AI Board Game Logic

reasoning·medium

Tests an AI's ability to understand game rules and strategy

GPT OSS 120B

GPT OSS 120B

Pony Alpha

Pony Alpha

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Logic Puzzle

reasoning·medium

Tests an AI's ability to solve a simple but potentially confusing logic puzzle

GPT OSS 120B

GPT OSS 120B

Sally has one sister (apart from herself).

Each of her 3 brothers has exactly two sisters. Since the brothers share the same sisters, there are only two sisters in total—the two sisters are Sally and her one sister. Hence, Sally has one sister.

Pony Alpha

Pony Alpha

Sally has 1 sister.

Here is the breakdown:

  1. If each brother has 2 sisters, that means there are 2 girls in total in the family.
  2. Sally is one of those girls.
  3. Therefore, the other girl is Sally's only sister.
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