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  1. Home
  2. Models
  3. Claude Opus 4.6
  4. Estimate Complexity

See how Claude Opus 4.6 compares on this challenge:

  • Claude Opus 4.6 vs Claude Sonnet 4.6
  • Claude Opus 4.6 vs Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
  • Claude Opus 4.6 vs Z.ai: GLM 5

4 models have responded to the "Estimate Complexity" challenge. Compare their approaches side-by-side on RIVAL. This response is part of RIVAL's open dataset of 5,600+ AI model responses.

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Back to Claude Opus 4.6

Estimate Complexity

Claude Opus 4.6's response to the 'Estimate Complexity' challenge.

Claude Opus 4.6
February 4, 2026
Text

?
Prompt

Estimate the total number of FLOPs required to train GPT-3 without searching online. Explain your reasoning step by step.

Claude Opus 4.6
Response

claude-opus-4.6 logo
Claude Opus 4.6Estimate Complexity
claude-opus-4.6 logo
Claude Opus 4.6

Estimating FLOPs to Train GPT-3

Key Parameters

Let me recall the key specs of GPT-3:

  • Parameters: 175 billion (1.75 × 10¹¹)
  • Training tokens: ~300 billion (3 × 10¹¹)
  • Architecture: Decoder-only Transformer

The Standard Approximation Rule

There's a well-known approximation for Transformer training FLOPs:

$$C ≈ 6 \times N \times D$$

where:

  • N = number of parameters
  • D = number of training tokens
  • 6 comes from the factor of 2 for each of three operations:
    • Forward pass: ~2 FLOPs per parameter per token (one multiply + one add per parameter for matrix operations)
    • Backward pass (activation gradients): ~2 FLOPs per parameter per token
    • Backward pass (weight gradients): ~2 FLOPs per parameter per token

Why 2 FLOPs per parameter per token for the forward pass?

A Transformer is dominated by matrix multiplications. For a matrix multiplication of shape (m × k) times (k × n), the FLOPs are ~2mkn (k multiplies and k-1 adds per output element ≈ 2k ops × mn outputs). When you sum across all the weight matrices in the model, the total forward-pass FLOPs work out to approximately 2 × N per token, where N is the total parameter count.

Calculation

$$C ≈ 6 \times N \times D$$

$$C ≈ 6 \times (1.75 \times 10^{11}) \times (3 \times 10^{11})$$

$$C ≈ 6 \times 5.25 \times 10^{22}$$

$$C ≈ 3.15 \times 10^{23} \text{ FLOPs}$$

Cross-check with reported values

The OpenAI paper actually reported 3.14 × 10²³ FLOPs, so this estimate is essentially exact — which makes sense because the 6ND formula is precisely the approximation the community (and OpenAI themselves) use.

Final Answer

$$\boxed{C \approx 3.15 \times 10^{23} \text{ FLOPs}}$$

This is about 315 ZettaFLOPs — roughly equivalent to running thousands of V100 GPUs for weeks-to-months, which aligns with what we know about the training infrastructure used.

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About Claude Opus 4.6

Capabilities

ConversationReasoningCode GenerationAnalysisTool Use

Categories

TextCodeMultimodal

Specifications

Provider
Anthropic
Released
2026-02-04
Size
XLARGE
Context
1,000,000 tokens

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SAME PROMPT

Claude Sonnet 4.6's version

Same prompt, different result

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