Okay, this is a crisis scenario requiring a delicate balance of legal, ethical, financial, and reputational considerations. Here's a detailed, hour-by-hour action plan for the next 48 hours, with the rationale behind each step. This plan assumes a proactive & responsible approach prioritizing patient safety while mitigating damage. It's structured around immediately securing information, consulting with key parties, and preparing for both internal and external communication.
Phase 1: Immediate Assessment & Containment (Hours 0-12)
- Hour 0-2: Assemble Crisis Team & Secure Data (Critical)
- Action: Immediately convene a small, core crisis team: CEO (me), Chief Medical Officer (CMO), Head of Research & Development (R&D), General Counsel (GC), Head of Public Relations (PR/Communications), and a representative from Investor Relations (IR). Secure all raw data, reports, and analyses related to the side effect. Lock down access to this information to the core team only.
- Rationale: Speed is crucial. The core team needs to understand the situation fully before any action. Data security prevents leaks and ensures accuracy.
- Hour 2-4: Deep Dive & Risk Assessment (CMO, R&D, GC)
- Action: CMO and R&D lead a focused review of the data. Specifically:
- Confirm the causality between the drug and liver failure. Is it definitively linked or a correlation?
- Determine the exact mechanism of action (if known).
- Identify patient populations most at risk (age, pre-existing conditions, concomitant medications).
- GC assesses legal exposure – potential liability claims, regulatory penalties, and precedent cases.
- Rationale: We need to understand the magnitude of the risk and its specific characteristics before making decisions. Legal assessment informs our strategy.
- Hour 4-6: Preliminary Legal Strategy (GC)
- Action: GC outlines legal options, including:
- Immediate voluntary reporting vs. waiting for more data.
- Potential for a "black box" warning vs. other warning label changes.
- Potential legal challenges regardless of the chosen path. Draft a preliminary legal memo outlining these.
- Rationale: We need to understand the legal landscape and prepare for potential litigation.
- Hour 6-8: Patient Safety Review and Mitigation (CMO)
- Action: CMO develops a preliminary plan for patient safety. This includes:
- Exploring whether dosage adjustments or monitoring protocols can reduce the risk.
- Identifying existing patient cohorts who could benefit from enhanced monitoring.
- Drafting a preliminary communication for physicians (not public yet) advising them to be vigilant for signs of liver failure.
- Rationale: Protecting patients is paramount. We need to consider immediate steps to minimize harm.
- Hour 8-12: Internal Communication & Morale Management (CEO, HR)
- Action: Send a brief, confidential communication to all employees acknowledging a serious internal issue is being addressed and reassuring them that patient safety is the top priority. Emphasize the importance of discretion. Brief key department heads.
- Rationale: Preventing rumors and maintaining employee morale is important, but transparency must be balanced with the need to control information.
Phase 2: Board Engagement & Communication Planning (Hours 12-24)
- Hour 12-16: Briefing Board Members (CEO, CMO, GC)
- Action: Individual, confidential briefings of each board member. Present the data, the legal assessment, and the preliminary patient safety plan. Specifically address the risks of waiting and the ethical implications. Emphasize the importance of transparency and patient safety. Document each briefing.
- Rationale: Direct communication is essential to ensure board understanding and alignment. Individual briefings allow for tailored information and address concerns directly. Documenting ensures accountability.
- Hour 16-20: Board Meeting Preparation (All Crisis Team)
- Action: Finalize presentation for the board meeting. Include:
- Detailed data on the side effect.
- Legal assessment and potential liabilities.
- Patient safety mitigation strategies.
- Communication plan options (see below).
- Financial impact projections (including stock price sensitivity analysis).
- Rationale: A well-prepared presentation is crucial for a productive board discussion.
- Hour 20-24: Board Meeting (Critical)
- Action: Present the information to the board. Strongly advocate for immediate voluntary reporting to regulatory agencies, even with the potential for a stock price decline. Frame it as the ethically correct and ultimately less damaging long-term strategy. Address the board members' concerns about waiting for more data – explain the risks of delay. Secure a board resolution supporting immediate reporting and the proposed communication plan.
- Rationale: The board's support is essential for proceeding. A clear and compelling argument for transparency is needed. Document the board's decision meticulously.
Phase 3: Regulatory Reporting & Public Communication (Hours 24-48)
- Hour 24-30: Initiate Regulatory Reporting (GC, R&D)
- Action: GC immediately initiates the formal reporting process with the relevant regulatory agencies (e.g., FDA in the US, EMA in Europe). Provide all available data and a detailed explanation of the situation. Clearly state our proactive approach.
- Rationale: Starting the process now, even if it takes 6 months for full completion, demonstrates good faith and allows the agency to begin its review.
- Hour 30-36: Physician Communication (CMO, PR)
- Action: Issue an urgent medical communication to all prescribing physicians. This communication should:
- Clearly and concisely describe the newly identified risk.
- Provide guidance on monitoring patients for signs of liver failure.
- Recommend appropriate actions (e.g., consider alternative therapies for high-risk patients).
- Rationale: Informing physicians is crucial for protecting patients. This is a critical step before public disclosure.
- Hour 36-42: Draft Public Statement & Q&A (PR, IR, GC)
- Action: Draft a public statement acknowledging the emerging safety concern, emphasizing our commitment to patient safety, and outlining the steps we are taking (regulatory reporting, physician communication, ongoing research). Prepare detailed Q&A for the earnings call, anticipating difficult questions about the impact on revenue and stock price.
- Rationale: We need a clear, consistent message for the public and investors. Transparency and empathy are essential.
- Hour 42-48: Final Review & Earnings Call Preparation (All Crisis Team)
- Action: Final review of the public statement and Q&A by the crisis team. Brief the CEO on key messaging and potential scenarios. Prepare for the earnings call.
- Rationale: Ensuring accuracy and consistency is paramount.
Earnings Call Execution (Hour 72 and beyond):
- Be upfront and transparent about the situation.
- Emphasize patient safety as the top priority.
- Clearly explain the steps being taken to address the issue.
- Acknowledge the potential financial impact, but frame it as a necessary cost of doing the right thing.
- Reiterate commitment to research and development.
Key Principles Guiding this Plan:
- Patient Safety First: This is the unwavering priority.
- Transparency & Honesty: While timing is a factor, withholding information is unacceptable.
- Proactive Engagement: Voluntary reporting demonstrates responsibility.
- Legal Compliance: Ensure all actions are legally sound.
- Stakeholder Communication: Keep employees, the board, physicians, regulators, and investors informed.
Important Notes:
- This plan is a framework and needs to be adapted based on the specific details of the situation.
- Continuous monitoring of the situation and adaptation of the plan is essential.
- Seek external legal and PR/crisis management expertise.
This situation requires decisive leadership and a commitment to ethical behavior. While the financial consequences are concerning, prioritizing patient safety and acting with integrity will ultimately serve the company's long-term interests.