4 models have responded to the "Estimate Complexity" challenge. Compare their approaches side-by-side on RIVAL. This response is part of RIVAL's open dataset of 5,600+ AI model responses.
Claude 3.7 Sonnet Thinking's response to the Tests an AI's ability to make educated estimates based on technical knowledge
Estimate the total number of FLOPs required to train GPT-3 without searching online. Explain your reasoning step by step.
I'll estimate the total number of floating point operations (FLOPs) required to train GPT-3 by breaking down the calculation step by step.
For transformer models, we need to account for operations in:
For GPT-3, let's use these parameters:
For each token in each layer:
Total FLOPs per token (forward pass): ≈ L × (12 × d² + 2 × d × s) ≈ 96 × (12 × 12,288² + 2 × 12,288 × 2,048) ≈ 96 × (1.8 × 10⁹ + 5 × 10⁷) ≈ 1.8 × 10¹¹ FLOPs
The backward pass typically requires about 2× the computation of the forward pass: ≈ 2 × 1.8 × 10¹¹ ≈ 3.6 × 10¹¹ FLOPs
Total FLOPs per token (forward + backward): ≈ 1.8 × 10¹¹ + 3.6 × 10¹¹ ≈ 5.4 × 10¹¹ FLOPs
Multiply by the total number of tokens processed: ≈ 5.4 × 10¹¹ × 300 × 10⁹ ≈ 1.62 × 10²³ FLOPs
As a sanity check, using a simpler heuristic:
The total training computation for GPT-3 was approximately 1.6-2.1 × 10²³ FLOPs (160-210 zettaFLOPs).
This massive computational requirement explains why training such models costs millions of dollars and requires specialized supercomputing infrastructure.
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