AI and Film by 2035: A Likely Trajectory
Production Changes
AI Actors & Digital Performers
- Deceased actors will regularly appear in new films (with estate permissions)
- Background characters and crowds entirely AI-generated
- "Synthetic actors" with no human counterpart will emerge as franchises
- A-list stars will license their digital likenesses for projects they don't physically attend
Cost Restructuring
- Mid-budget films ($10-50M) may largely disappear—either micro-budget AI productions or traditional blockbusters
- Independent filmmakers can produce visually sophisticated films for <$100K
- VFX costs plummet; pre-visualization becomes nearly indistinguishable from final product
Creative Workflow
Script & Pre-production
- AI assists with dialogue polish, plot hole detection, and generating alternative scenes
- Human writers remain essential for original vision, but AI handles "first draft" grunt work
- Instant previsualization allows directors to "see" scenes before shooting
Personalization
- Limited experiments with viewer-customized versions (different endings, pacing, even actor swaps)
- Niche content explosion—profitable films for audiences of 50,000 instead of 5 million
Industry Tensions
Labor Conflicts
- Ongoing strikes and negotiations over AI usage rights
- New guilds and protections for "digital likeness rights"
- Sharp divide between AI-embracing and "authentically human" productions
Authenticity as Premium
- "100% human-made" becomes a marketing point
- Documentary and performance-capture work gains prestige
- Film festivals create separate categories
The technology will be transformative, but human creativity, curation, and authentic performance will remain valued—just redistributed.