Historical Counterfactual Analysis
If the transistor had been invented in 1920 instead of 1947, trace the likely technological, economic, and geopolitical implications through…
Moving the invention of the transistor from 1947 to 1920 alters the fundamental trajectory of the 20th century. It compresses the electronic age, shifting the "Digital Revolution" from the 1980s to the 1950s. Here is a trace of the implications through 1980. I.Read the full answer
Counterfactual: The Transistor in 1920 This is a fun one to work through carefully. Let me establish the premise, then trace second- and third-order effects. The Premise Assume point-contact or early junction transistor physics is discovered ~1920 (say, by accident in vacuum tube/semiconductor rectifier research—the…Read the full answer