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  1. Home/
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  3. Statistics

Best AI for Statistics

Uniqueness across five generated jokes, downside cases in a five-year LBO model, valuation ranges in a buy-side memo. Probability under load.

Updated Jun 2026·3 challenges·20 models

How Statistics rankings are computed

20 models tested across 3 statistics challenges.Composite score: 30% Rival Index, 20% task coverage, 20% challenge-scoped duel performance, 15% recency, 15% tier. Deduplicated by product line. Kimi K3 leads at 80.5/100. Drawn from Rival's open dataset of 21,000+ human preference votes.

Rival’s pick·#36 Rival Index·Google flagship

Too close to call
Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 06-05Google AINeck and neck with Kimi K3. Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 06-05 gets the nod on blind votes. Rising fast but not yet battle-tested in community votes.

Composite scores combine task evidence, Rival Index, recency, and model tier. Rival’s pick is a separate editorial recommendation. How ranking works

  1. Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 06-05Google AI$1.25·$10.00Input $1.25 · output $10.00, per 1M tokens
    #280Composite
  2. Kimi K3Moonshot AI$3.00·$15.00Input $3.00 · output $15.00, per 1M tokens
    #180Composite
  3. Claude Fable 5Anthropic$10.00·$50.00Input $10.00 · output $50.00, per 1M tokens
    #380Composite

Head-to-head

  • Kimi K3vsGemini 2.5 Pro Preview 06-05
  • Kimi K3vsClaude Fable 5
  • Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 06-05vsClaude Fable 5

What the top three actually wrote

Opening lines from 6 answers across every prompt behind this ranking. Formatting stripped, words untouched.

Stochastic Consistency Test

Generate 5 jokes. How many are unique?

Kimi K384 words
Here are 5 jokes: Why don't scientists trust atoms? Because they make up everything! Why did the scarecrow win an award? Because he was outstanding in his field! Why don't skeletons fight each other? They don't have the guts. What do you call a fish with no eyes? A fsh. Why did the math book look sad?
Read the full answer
Claude Fable 582 words
Here are 5 jokes: Why don't scientists trust atoms? Because they make up everything. Why did the scarecrow win an award? Because he was outstanding in his field. What do you call a fake noodle? An impasta. Why don't skeletons fight each other? They don't have the guts. What do you call a fake noodle? An impasta.
Read the full answer

Advanced Investment Memo (IC Memo)

You are writing an internal investment committee memo for a long/short equity fund. Company (fictional): LedgerLift (ticker: LLLT) – B2B…

Kimi K31,055 words
IC MEMO — LedgerLift (LLLT) Price $46 Mkt cap $8.74B Net cash $1.4B EV $7.34B EV/FY25 Rev 9.0x EV/FY26E Rev 7.4x EV/FY26E EBIT 37x Recommendation: SHORT (moderate conviction; 1.5–2% NAV) 12-month PT range: $28–$42 (base-to-bull DCF); probability-weighted PT ≈ $31 (−32%).
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Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 06-05616 words
INTERNAL INVESTMENT COMMITTEE MEMORANDUM TO: Investment Committee FROM: [Analyst Name] DATE: October 26, 2023 SUBJECT: Long Recommendation for LedgerLift (LLLT) Recommendation & Thesis Recommendation: LONG 12-Month Price Target Range: $58 - $82 (Base to Bull Case) Current Price: $46.00 LedgerLift is a high-quality SaaS…
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Mini LBO Underwrite

You are underwriting a 5-year LBO for a private equity investment committee. Company (fictional): HarborTech Services (HTS) –…

Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 06-0553 words
Of course. Here is the requested LBO underwriting summary for HarborTech Services. 1. Simplified LBO Model (FY2026–FY2030) First, let's establish the entry calculations based on FY2025 figures: FY2025 EBITDA: $120m Entry Enterprise Value (EV): $120m * 12.0x = $1,440m Transaction Fees: $1,440m * 2.0% = $28.8m Total…
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Claude Fable 5559 words
HarborTech Services – 5-Year LBO Underwriting Entry Math (close end FY2025, $m) Item Calc Value EV 12.0 × 120 1,440.0 Term Loan (TL) 4.0 × 120 480.0 Mezzanine 1.5 × 120 180.0 Fees (equity-funded) 2.0% × 1,440 28.8 Sponsor equity 1,440 − 660 + 28.8 808.8 Conventions: interest on beginning-of-year balances; TL amort = 1%…
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Full rankings

20 models
#ModelCoverageIndex
  • 4GPT-6.1 SolOpenAI
    3/3    $2.00·$10.00Input $2.00 · output $10.00, per 1M tokens78
  • 5Qwen3.7 MaxQwen
    3/3    #29$2.50·$7.50Input $2.50 · output $7.50, per 1M tokens78
  • 6Gemini 3.1 Pro PreviewGoogle AI
    3/3    #8$2.00·$12.00Input $2.00 · output $12.00, per 1M tokens75
  • 7Gemini 3.8 FlashGoogle AI
    3/3    $0.75·$3.75Input $0.75 · output $3.75, per 1M tokens75
  • 8Claude Opus 5.5Anthropic
    3/3    $4.00·$20.00Input $4.00 · output $20.00, per 1M tokens74
  • 9Claude Sonnet 5.5Anthropic
    3/3    $2.00·$10.00Input $2.00 · output $10.00, per 1M tokens72
  • 10GPT-4.1OpenAI
    3/3    #77$2.00·$8.00Input $2.00 · output $8.00, per 1M tokens71
  • 11DeepSeek R1 0528DeepSeek
    3/3    #145$0.000·$0.000Input $0.000 · output $0.000, per 1M tokens71
  • 12DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeek
    3/3    $0.15·$0.60Input $0.15 · output $0.60, per 1M tokens70
  • 13GLM 5.3 PrimeZ.ai
    2/3    $2.80·$8.80Input $2.80 · output $8.80, per 1M tokens70
  • 14Claude Haiku 4.5Anthropic
    3/3    #47$1.00·$5.00Input $1.00 · output $5.00, per 1M tokens70
  • 15InklingThinking Machines
    3/3    #13$1.00·$4.05Input $1.00 · output $4.05, per 1M tokens69
  • 16Qwen3.6 Plus Preview (free)Qwen
    3/3    #27$0.000·$0.000Input $0.000 · output $0.000, per 1M tokens67
  • 17Grok 4.7xAI
    3/3    $1.60·$4.80Input $1.60 · output $4.80, per 1M tokens66
  • 18GPT OSS 120BOpenAI
    3/3    #130$0.18·$0.80Input $0.18 · output $0.80, per 1M tokens65
  • 19GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI
    3/3    #155$5.00·$30.00Input $5.00 · output $30.00, per 1M tokens65
  • 20Gemma 4 26B A4BGoogle AI
    3/3    #28$0.13·$0.40Input $0.13 · output $0.40, per 1M tokens65

Challenges3

  • Stochastic ConsistencyAsked to be random, then asked why it was not.
  • Advanced Investment Memo (IC Memo)A buy-side IC memo: valuation, diligence, a recommendation.
  • Mini LBO UnderwriteA five-year LBO with real math and a sensitivity table.

Related

  • Mathematics
  • Data Analysis
  • Word Problems

Keep exploring

  • Kimi K3 vs Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 06-05The top two for Statistics, compared directly
  • Best AI for MathematicsSee which models rank highest here
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